Adam Sarhan Reuters Quote: PRECIOUS Metals-Gold rises 1 pct on oil rally, technicals improve


Thu Jul 19, 2012 12:38pm EDT

* Gold up following two days of losses on Fed outlook

* Rally in crude oil, dollar’s drop help

By Frank Tang

NEW YORK, July 19 (Reuters) – Gold rose 1 percent on Thursday after two days of losses, lifted by a drop in the

dollar and a rally by crude oil amid increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.  Data showing a surge in U.S. jobless claims and weaker factory activity in the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region improved the outlook for additional economic stimulus from the Federal Reserve and boosted bullion’s investment appeal. Bullion, a traditional inflation hedge, has retreated from levels seen earlier this year due to a lack of more-concrete measures by the U.S. central bank to stimulate a slowing economy. This week, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke again gave no hint of any new round of asset buybacks, or quantitative easing (QE).

“The underlying fundamental story why gold was moving sideways in the past three months is that investors are just not clear whether or not we are going to see another round of quantitative easing from the Fed,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of New York-based Sarhan Capital.

 “If we do see more QE, I have to say gold can easily get a bid and shoot right back up to this year’s high at $1,800 in a heartbeat,” Sarhan said.

Spot gold was up 1 percent for the day at $1,587.36 an ounce by 11:53 a.m. EDT (1553 GMT).

Gold’s rally on Thursday also brightened its technical outlook as prices have now risen above their 20- and 50-day moving averages (DMA).

However, gold will stay rangebound unless the metal breaks above resistance at $1,655 — its 200-DMA and two-month high, or falls below $1,523 — a one-year low, Sarhan said.

Gold drew support from a 3 percent surge in oil as the killing of Syrian security chiefs on Wednesday, and an attack on Israeli tourists in Bulgaria, which Israel accused Iran of carrying out, worsened the crisis in the Middle East. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were up $16.50 at $1,587.30 an ounce, with trading volume weaker than normal, preliminary Reuters data showed.

Silver gained 0.7 percent to $27.34 an ounce. Spot platinum was up 0.9 percent at $1,412.25 an ounce, while spot palladium rose 1.7 percent at $580.75 an ounce.


Prices at 11:53 a.m. EDT (1553 GMT)

LAST      NET    PCT     YTD

CHG    CHG     CHG

US gold                    1587.30    16.50   1.1%    1.3%

US silver                   27.325    0.230   0.9%   -2.1%

US platinum                1418.80    14.60   1.0%    1.4%

US palladium                583.60     6.05   1.1%  -11.1%


Gold                       1587.36    15.07   1.0%    1.5%

Silver                       27.34     0.20   0.7%   -1.3%

Platinum                   1412.25    12.05   0.9%    1.4%

Palladium                   580.75     9.67   1.7%  -11.0%


Gold Fix                   1584.00     4.00   0.3%    0.6%

Silver Fix                   27.45    42.00   1.6%   -2.6%

Platinum Fix               1415.00     2.00   0.1%    2.5%

Palladium Fix               581.00     1.00   0.2%   -8.6%


(Additional reporting by Harpreet Bhal and Jan Harvey in

London; Editing by Dale Hudson)


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