Missing Link For The Economy To Thrive

NOT MAKING A DECISION CAN BE COSTLY, ESPECIALLY IN A BULL MARKET

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Lackluster Economy:

The Great Recession ended 5 years ago but the subsequent 5 year economic “recovery” remains less than stellar- for a larger portion of the country.

Biggest Asset:

For most people, their home is their single largest asset- especially for middle and lower income families- and many of these families are still under-water (owe more than what their home is worth). What does that do for one’s psyche and desire to “spend?” Since the overwhelming majority of the population fall into this category, I like to look at both housing markets to ascertain the overall health, and direction, of the economy. 

Economic Dichotomy:

The following four charts illustrate exactly what we are seeing on Main Street (the economy). On average, upper income families are thriving while middle and lower income families continue to struggle. 

Bottom Line:

In order for the economy to gain traction and begin growing at a healthy rate- I’d like to see the entire housing market (not just the luxury market) improve markedly. All things being equal, that is the one missing link for the economy to kick back into gear and thrive again. 
Note: HOV was chosen to illustrate the Middle/Lower income housing while TOL illustrates the luxury home market. 

HOV vs S&P 500

HOV vs SPX

 

TOL VS S&P 500

Tol vs SPX 

HOV Annual Chart:

HOV-

 

 

 TOL Annual Chart

TOL-

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