Stocks Digest Tuesday’s Strong Move

XLF- Broke out of a nice flat base

XLF- Broke out of a nice flat base

Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks opened higher on Wednesday, led by the explosive post Stress-test results from the country’s largest banks. From our point of view, the major averages confirmed their latest rally attempt on Tuesday 1.3.12 which was Day 9 of their current rally attempt. Since then, stocks have been enjoying a very strong uptrend. The benchmark S&P 500 paused near its 2011 high (~1370) before moving higher. It would be perfectly normal and healthy to see a 5-9% pullback at any point to give the bulls a chance to consolidate the recent gain. That would bring the S&P 500 down to 1310-1250. Until then, the bulls remain in control of this market as long as the benchmark S&P 500 stays above its 50 DMA line.

Financials Lead, Economic Data Helps:

Before Wednesday’s open, the government said import prices fell short of the Street’s estimate, rising +0.4% in February thanks to a large drop in food prices. Meanwhile, the U.S. current account deficit, jumped to a three-year high of $124.1 billion. A separate report showed that the Mortgage Bankers Association said demand for home loans slid by -2.4% but actually rose 4.4% excluding a drop in refinancing requests last week.

Market Outlook- Confirmed Rally

After a very shallow pullback the majority of risk assets (Stocks, FX, and commodities) have began to rally. So far this action is considered healthy for the risk on trade. However, if the sellers show up and support is breached then the bears will have regained control of this market. As always, keep your losses small and never argue with the tape. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, feel free to contact us for more information. That’s what we are here for!

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