U.S. stocks traded in a narrow range Monday, as investors prepare for a deluge of earnings while digesting Chinese economic data.
“I think it’s earnings-driven,” said J.J. Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade.
Over a fifth of S&P 500 companies are scheduled release quarterly results this week. Banking giant Morgan Stanley posted earnings per share 20 cents below estimates before the bell, with revenue also disappointing.
“Morgan Stanley earnings were disappointing,” Kinahan said. “Halliburton was expected to be poor; somehow they managed to do worse than that.”
IBM is due to report after the bell.
Earnings reports thus far “have been more of the same from last quarter,” said Nick Raich, CEO of The Earnings Scout. “It’s all about the earnings per share.”
Raich also said that, of the 58 companies that had reported as of Friday’s close, 71 percent had beaten Wall Street’s estimates for EPS, but only 47 percent had beaten on revenue. “The theme for 2015 has been strong earnings and weak revenues,” he said.
U.S. equities opened lower, with all major indexes falling about 0.3 percent. The Nasdaq Composite rose as the iShares Biotechnology ETF(IBB) gained about 2 percent before paring gains. S&P and the Dow turned sightly positive in late-morning trading but struggled to hold on to gains.
“2040 was support (for the S&P) for most of 2015; now it’s resistance,” said Adam Sarhan, CEO of Sarhan Capital.
Overnight, China reported a third-quarter gross domestic growth figure of 6.9 percent, slightly above the expected 6.8 percent, but also its lowest in six years. China also reported industrial production rose 5. percent, below the expected 6 percent increase.
“We’re less concerned about the global growth story than we were in August,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities. “It’s not to say China’s out of the woods, but it’s stabilizing.”
China’s growth data took its toll on the commodities space, which sawU.S. crude futures close down 2.90 percent at $45.89 a barrel, whileBrent futures dropped over 3.5 percent. The energy sector in the S&P fell more than 2 percent.
“We’ve probably seem the lows on oil, but it’s going to take some time to consolidate,” said Maris Ogg, president at Tower Bridge Advisors. “The news long-term is improving, it’s near-term (outlook) is still very choppy.
Gold futures also settled down $10.30 to $1,172.80 per ounce, below their 200-day moving average of $1,175.80.
Also weighing on commodities was the dollar, said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.
“The dollar’s been weakening pretty steadily, so it may be overdue for a bounce,” he said.
Investors also looked at housing data for more clues about the strength of the U.S. economy, with the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market index reading coming in at its highest in a decade.
“We are approaching the point where it will make sense to buy instead of rent as the rent increases will likely be more persistent in coming years than home price gains due to the secular decline in homeownerhip rates,” Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group, said in a note.
Wall Street will have more housing data to digest this week, with housing starts due Tuesday, weekly mortgage applications on Wednesday and the FHFA House Price index and existing home sales due Thursday.
“This week is going to tell us which way the market is going (moving forward),” Ogg said. “People are having second thoughts about the strength of the economy.”
Wall Street also digested prepared remarks made by Federal Reserve official Lael Brainard, who urged officials to ease the regulatory burden on small banks.
“Exempting banks with less than $10 billion in assets from its requirements would significantly help reduce burden on smaller institutions,” she said.
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker was scheduled to speak at noon, but had to cancel due to illness. Other Fed speakers this week include Fed Governor Jerome Powell, New York Fed President William Dudley and Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who is scheduled to deliver welcoming remarks at a conference in New York City.
“They’re going to keep the market guessing as to when (they) will raise rates,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Rockwell Global Capital. “The Fed doesn’t want to commit to a rate hike because they follow global events.”
Hogan said “there’s a majority of Fed (officials) who would like to lift off this year … but I think they will push this decision til next year.”
After Yellen delivers her remarks, there will be no more Fed speeches until after the the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committeemeeting.
“I think the next catalyst that could send stocks higher is the Fed.s FOMC meeting,” said Robert Pavlik, chief market strategist at Boston Private Wealth.
European stocks closed mixed as the pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.3 percent, while London’s FTSE 100 fell 0.4 percent. The German DAX closed over 0.6 percent higher.
Asian equities ended mixed overnight, with the Shanghai Composite falling 0.11 percent, while the Hang Seng closed narrowly higher.
In corporate news, German banking giant Deutsche Bank announced Sunday a company-wide restructuring plan that will “fundamentally change” how it does business, splitting its investment bank into two businesses and parting ways with some key officials.
McDonald’s stock was added to Credit Suisse’s “US Focus List” and said it considered it one of its “top investment ideas.”
United Continental has not updated the condition of CEO Oscar Munoz after being admitted to the hospital Thursday.
The S&P 500 traded down 3 points, or 0.17 percent, at 2,029, with energy leading seven sectors lower and consumer discretionary leading advancers.
The Nasdaq rose 5 points to 4,891.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, traded near 15.
U.S. 10-year yields traded higher at 2.03 percent, while two-year note yields traded near 0.60 percent.
Decliners led advancers 3 to 2 at the New York Stock Exchange with an exchange volume of 275 million and a composite volume of 1.03 billion as of 2:15 p.m. ET.
On tap this week:
Earnings: Travelers, United Technologies, Bank of NY Mellon, Lockheed Martin, Yahoo, VMWare, iRobot, Cree, Chipotle Mexican Grill,Chubb,Discover Financial, Tupperware, Pinnacle Financial, Brinker International, Canadian Pacific Railway, Omnicom, Harley-Davidson
8:30 a.m.: Housing starts
9 a.m.: New York Fed President William Dudley at market conference
9 a.m.: Fed Gov. Jerome Powell at market conference
11 a.m.: Fed Chair Janet Yellen makes welcoming remarks at ceremony
Earnings: Boeing, Coca-Cola, American Express, eBay, Abbott Labs,Biogen, Texas Instruments, Kimberly-Clark, Las Vegas Sands,General Motors, Credit Suisse, Owens Corning, St. Jude Medical,SanDisk, Norsk Hydro, Northern Trust, Angie’s List, Manpower Group,SallieMae,Polaris, Morningstar, Raymond James
1:30 p.m.: Fed’s Powell on panel on liquidity
Earnings: 3M, Caterpillar, McDonald’s, Amazon.com, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Daimler, Dow Chemical, Danaher, AT&T,Raytheon,Eli Lilly, Dr Pepper Snapple, Freeport-McMoran, Nasdaq OMX,PulteGroup, Sirius XM Radio, Under Armour, Southwest Air,Juniper Networks, Pandora, Union Pacific, Alaska Air, Dunkin Brands,Capital One, Stryker
8:30 a.m.: Initial claims
9 a.m.: FHFA home prices
9:45 a.m.: Manufacturing PMI
10 a.m.: Existing home sales