https://globalmacroresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/50-Park-Capital-white-background-LOGO.jpg 0 0 email@example.com https://globalmacroresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/50-Park-Capital-white-background-LOGO.jpg firstname.lastname@example.org 17:00:092011-09-01 15:25:13Reuters Quote: Copper caps worst monthly loss since June 2010
Wed Aug 31, 2011 2:41pm EDT
* London copper breaks above 200-day moving average
* COMEX copper still eyes death cross technical barrier
* Labour talks continue at Vale's Canadian nickel ops
* Coming up: China/U.S. manufacturing data Thurs.
(Rewrites, adds New York dateline/byline, updates with New York closing copper price, adds graphic and analyst comments)
By Chris Kelly and Melanie Burton
NEW YORK/LONDON, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Copper capped its worst monthly performance in more than a year with a firmer close on Wednesday, as concerns about tightening supply and upbeat U.S. data steered the rally.
Losses in the base metals complex piled up in August, with aluminum CMAL3 posting its weakest performance since May 2010, zinc's CMZN3 weakest since November 2010, and tin's CMSN3 greatest monthly loss since October 2008.
But the selling pressures came to a halt on the last day of the month Wednesday, with technical momentum and supply-side restraints fueling gains in copper.
"It is very much a case of refocusing on fundamentals. We had an awful Chilean production report which highlights the challenges the industry faces in trying to grow supply this year," said Gayle Berry, analyst at Barcap. [ID:nN1E77T0BQ]
London Metal Exchange (LME) copper for three-month delivery CMCU3 broke above its 200-day moving average at $9,286 a tonne at one point, before ending at $9,275, up $115 on the day.
In New York, the key December COMEX contract HGZ1 jumped 6.30 cents or 1.5 percent to settle at $4.2045 per lb.
It too received a technical boost with an earlier breach of its 100-day moving average at $4.2092.
But analysts said the move lacked conviction and a greater technical barrier stood in its way.
"I still think there is still some work to be done," said Adam Sarhan, chief executive of Sarhan Capital in New York.
"We are seeing a light-volume bounce up to a logical area of resistance ... there is also the issue of a death cross, which bodes poorly for the near-term outlook."
A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average sinks below, or crosses over, its 200-day moving average.
(Graphic: link.reuters.com/puk53s )
"As long as copper stays below its 50- and 200-day moving averages, the bears remain in control."
Total copper trading volumes in New York reached about 29,000 lots -- more than 40 percent below the 30-day average, according to preliminary data from Thomson Reuters.
Copper received a boost from a report that the U.S. private sector added 91,000 jobs in August while an index of factory activity in the U.S. Midwest in August and U.S. July factory orders were better than expected. [ID:nN9E7H701V]
"There are still a number of question marks when it comes to the macro outlook and there still could be a lot of fear-driven weakness in prices ahead," Berry said.
"The next month is going to be interesting because that is when seasonally you would expect buyers to start returning to the market again so we should get a feel for how much of an impact the slower economic data is having on actual metal fundamentals."
Premiums for bonded copper in Shanghai have fallen more than 10 percent from last week due to poor arbitrage and reduced demand for spot metal in the domestic market, marking the first fall in premium since July, traders said on Wednesday.[ID:nL4E7JV1M0]
In nickel, labour talks appear to be going smoothly at Vale's (VALE5.SA) Thompson mining, smelting and refining complex in Manitoba, Canada where the current contract expires in mid-September.
"Talks continue in Thompson and we remain committed to reaching a deal," a Vale spokesman told Reuters.
Thompson has the capacity to produce around 60,000 tonnes a year of refined nickel, according to Reuters Metal Production Database.
Nickel CMNI3 ended up $25 at $22,200 a tonne.
Metals database here
Global metal stocks link.reuters.com/deg67n
LME stocks vs prices r.reuters.com/hub62s
Metal Prices at 1826 GMT COMEX copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 420.20 6.05 +1.46 444.70 -5.51 LME Alum 2469.00 44.00 +1.81 2470.00 -0.04 LME Cu 9274.00 114.00 +1.24 9600.00 -3.40 LME Lead 2578.00 20.00 +0.78 2550.00 1.10 LME Nickel 22200.00 250.00 +1.14 24750.00 -10.30 LME Tin 24400.00 400.00 +1.67 26900.00 -9.29 LME Zinc 2291.50 6.50 +0.28 2454.00 -6.62 SHFE Alu 17470.00 25.00 +0.14 16840.00 3.74 SHFE Cu* 68360.00 110.00 +0.16 71850.00 -4.86 SHFE Zin 17360.00 45.00 +0.26 19475.00 -10.86 ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07 (Additional reporting by Harpreet Bhal in London and Euan Rocha in Toronto; Editing by Alison Birrane;editing by Sofina Mirza-Reid)
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